Cambridge United pulled off a huge upset in round three as they won at Newcastle, and Kevin Hatchard says they’ll have to be equally resolute against Championship side Luton.
“Cambridge are without their top scorer, and have struggled to score goals anyway this term. Luton have a solid defensive process, so high-quality chances may be hard to come by.”
Tight tussle expected
Cambridge United v Luton Town
Saturday 05 February, 17:30
Live on BBCi
For the second time this week, Ibiza let us down last night, as they slipped to a 2-0 defeat at Almeria, who hadn’t previously won in 2022.
We’re enjoying the FA Cup this weekend, and we’ll start with giant-killers Cambridge United, as they look to cause another upset against Championship side Luton Town. In the third round, the U’s dumped out the nouveau riche of Newcastle with a fine 1-0 win.
That day’s match-winning hero Joe Ironside will miss this game with an ankle injury, and one wonders where the goals will come from for the League One side. They have only managed 38 goals in their 29 league matches this term, and nine of their last 11 competitive games have featured fewer than three goals. That’s partially down to the excellence of Cambridge keeper Dimitar Mitov, who was outstanding against Newcastle.
Luton are chasing a playoff spot in the Championship, and they have a knack for keeping things tight. They have conceded just 32 goals in 28 Championship matches, and our friends at Infogol say they have an Expected Goals Against figure of just 30.5, so their excellent defensive record is no fluke. They have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches.
Cambridge are without their top scorer, and they are up against a side that doesn’t give much away. I’ll back Under 2.5 Goals here at 1.845/6.