League One Tips: Chairboys to win and Addicks to lose

League One Tips: Chairboys to win and Addicks to lose

League One Tips: Chairboys to win and Addicks to lose

Chairboys deserve their short price

Wycombe Wanderers v Morecambe

Saturday 2nd October, kick-off 15:00

The match-up on Saturday between Gareth Ainsworth’s Wycombe against Morecambe (perhaps the ‘Combe derby?) looks perfect for a bet on the hosts – although at 1.75/7 we are not getting any gifts.

The visitors have conceded from set-pieces the most in League One – currently seven, and if there is any such weakness here, Wanderers are the perfect team to exploit it, especially with dead-ball delivery from Joe Jacobson. He gained his 50th goal in midweek during the 2-1 success at Shrewsbury, which is a remarkable tally for the left-back.

That was a fairly physical encounter on Tuesday, one that saw Ainsworth rest three key players. I expect midfielder Garath McCleary will start this weekend having been of the players dropped to the bench in midweek, his experience has been influential this term, with four goals in eight from the Jamaican international. The squad strength now with Wanderers is exceptional.

The Chairboys have been strong at home with three out of three, with a pair of 2-1 wins against Charlton and Accrington, which means they have won all of their previous five matches at Adams Park stretching back to the tail-end of the last term.

The ‘goals for’ column is a problem for Morecambe, with just one goal on the road thus far. Breaching the Wycombe defence is never easy and they have won just four from 18 against Saturday’s opponent.

I like the idea of including McCleary in the Anytime Goalscorer Betbuilder alongside a Wycombe win, with the double paying out 3.18.

KEY OPTA STAT: Wycombe have won each of their last five home league games, last having a longer such run between April and September 2019 (6).

More misery for Adkins on the cards

Fleetwood Town v Charlton Athletic
Saturday 2nd October, kick-off 15:00

Fleetwood Town have only won one of their eight league games against Charlton Athletic (D5 L2), a 1-0 home win in 2018-19, but now is as good time as any to face the Addicks, who in short, are woeful at the moment.

They were thoroughly outclassed by Bolton 1-4 at the Valley on Tuesday night, and one wonders how longer the results will be deemed acceptable. Nigel Adkins doesn’t seem to know his best team and boos ringing around Floyd Road at the moment post-game are a permanent fixture.

Yet still Charlton are priced at 2.962/1. They are 23rd and have taken just six points from 10 matches. Their strength last term was their away form – not now, this term they have only gained a draw and lost three times 2-1. Adkins does appear to be on borrowed time.

Fleetwood had a poor start for sure, but they were always in those games, and they’ve really found their scoring boots at the moment with 14 goals in their last six. They’ve beaten Rotherham 4-2 and Ged Garner has four goals in his last five matches.

Garner hit a brace on Tuesday in an epic 3-3 at the MK Dons, a point that was predicted in the column, so it was nice a late goal went in our favour for once.

Simon Grayson pulled off an excellent game-plan in allowing MK the ball in certain areas, but they are a good passing team themselves and numerous times they have gained results from losing positions. Their character alone makes them a much better proposition for Saturday. The hosts look a good bet at 2.47/5.

KEY OPTA STAT: Five of the eight Football League meetings between Fleetwood and Charlton have ended as a draw, including in their most recent encounter in February, a 1-1 draw at Highbury.

Manning’s men to continue march at the top

Doncaster Rovers v MK Dons
Saturday 2nd October, kick-off 15:00

A tale of contrasting results and performances came to light on Tuesday in the latest round of midweek fixtures, as Doncaster remained rooted at the foot of the table following a 6-0 hammering at Ipswich. MK Dons however earned a point in a brilliant 3-3 with Fleetwood. Midfielder Scott Twine scored a hat-trick – the long-range shooting king.

Manager for the hosts Richie Wellens thought it could have been more than six, with a frank assessment of how lethargic and inexperienced his players looked. At least back at home they are undefeated in two, put frankly that’s trying to put a positive spin by suggesting a draw and a win is a ‘run’.

The Dons are one of the best technical teams in the division and have goals from all over the park – something Rovers are yet to find with just four all season. Indeed, Twine alone has netted more this season with six in 11 than Donny’s entire team, and he is priced at 21/10 to score at anytime on the Sportsbook.

Dons boss Liam Manning felt his team were too open against Fleetwood in rainy conditions, as previously they had defended well, and played better against Sunderland in defeat where they were gave away fewer cheap turnovers.

KEY OPTA STAT: MK Dons have scored more goals than any other League One side this season (20), and are one of three sides to score in every one of their games in the division so far, along with Wigan and Ipswich.

*Click here for Ian Lamont’s League Two Saturday tips