Dyche and Farke need to reverse worrying trends
At the start of the 2017/18 season Crystal Palace set an unwanted record, losing their first seven games and reacting to that by sacking their manager, Frank De Boer. On Saturday Norwich City’s Daniel Farke will be desperate for his side to avoid matching that particular record and adding to a dreadful run of form in the Premier League.
Farke’s side have lost 16 straight top division games, albeit with a dominant 2020/21 season in the Championship in the middle of this run, and have struggled to make an impact on the season so far. After heavy losses to Liverpool and Manchester City to start the campaign the Canaries barely troubled Leicester City, Arsenal, Watford or Everton. Fortunately for the visitors, their hosts are on a similarly poor run of form.
In nine years under Sean Dyche Burnley have built a reputation of being a tough place to go but that is certainly not the case recently. The Clarets haven’t won a league game at Turf Moor since January and have lost to both Brighton and Arsenal at home already this season; although they did show signs of improvement in last week’s 2-2 draw with Leicester City.
Dyche’s side are, understandably, favourites and a win for the longest serving manager in the division would surely see the price on Farke to be the next manager to leave, currently 5.59/2, shorten dramatically.
Burnley’s draw last week saw new signing Maxwel Cornet score his first goal for the side, but it is Chris Wood who is typically the main source of goals for Dyche’s men. The New Zealand international has scored at least 10 league goals in all four of his seasons in Lancashire and got off the mark a couple of weeks ago in a 1-1 draw with Leeds.
Part of Norwich’s problem has seemingly been Farke’s inability to find a reliable, consistent partner for centre back Grant Hanley with a combination of Ben Gibson, Andrew Ombamidele and Ozan Kabak filling in next to the Scotland international so far this term.
Hanley will go head to head with Wood, who suits Burnley’s physical style perfectly and will be up for the battle. Cornet, playing on the left wing, looked bright in his first Premier League start and will look to link up with Dwight McNeil and Ashley Westwood to provide for the big Burnley number nine.
A Bet Builder of Wood to score Anytime & Burnley to win @ 2.68 is well worth a look.
Protecting a lead key to Clarets turnaround
The story of Burnley’s season so far has been a failure to hold a lead, after six matches The Clarets have drawn twice and lost four despite the fact all five of their goals this season putting them ahead in the game. Dyche’s side have scored the first goal in four games already and will fancy their chances if they are able to repeat that feat on Saturday afternoon.
After selling Emi Buendia to Aston Villa in the summer Norwich appear to be missing a creative spark, sitting bottom of the league in terms of goals scored (2), expected goals (5.3) and shot conversion rate (3.3%). Burnley are well organised and will be expected to sit deep so it may fall to Mathias Normann, who tested Jordan Pickford a few times from distance last week, or Milot Rashica, who joined City in the summer with a decent reputation, to provide the threat.
None of the 43 games between these two sides have ended 0-0, so with Norwich struggling to provide much in front of goal and Burnley often getting off to a fast start I’m expecting the home fans to see their team pick up a 1-0 win @ 8.615/2.